Every year at the NFL draft, there is that awkward moment when one player drops way below where he was expected to be taken and is constantly shown by ESPN's cameras.
I always feel bad for that player.
I can't predict which players that will be this year, but I can guess at which elite talents will drop further down the draft than their abilities would suggest they should.
Let's take a look.
1. Indianapolis Colts: Andrew Luck, QB, Stanford
I still believe the Colts and Browns or Redskins might be trade partners before all is said and done. But with Peyton Manning's future remaining uncertain, I'm keeping the Colts at this slot for now.
2. Washington Redskins: Robert Griffin III, QB, Baylor*
There is no way the Redskins are going to miss out on one of the top two quarterbacks in this draft. They desperately need a young talent at the position to excite the fanbase, and they'll do what they have to in a trade to make sure they land him.
3. Minnesota Vikings: Matt Kalil, OT, USC
The Vikings would be wise to select Kalil as protection for last year's first-round pick, quarterback Christian Ponder.
4. Cleveland Browns: Justin Blackmon, WR, Oklahoma State
Colt McCoy may not be the long-term solution at quarterback, but it's hard to fairly judge him without first giving him some weapons.
Enter Justin Blackmon. You're welcome, Mr. McCoy.
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Morris Claiborne, CB, LSU
The Bucs will be thrilled to upgrade the cornerback position with the best defensive player in this draft, Morris Claiborne.
6. St. Louis Rams: Alshon Jeffery, WR, South Carolina
The Rams get a much-needed weapon for quarterback Sam Bradford.
7. Jacksonville Jaguars: Stephon Gilmore, CB, South Carolina
After just missing out on the top two receivers, the Jags will be happy to solidify a position wracked by injuries last season with the NFL-ready Gilmore.
8. Carolina Panthers: Quinton Coples, DE, North Carolina
The Panthers will find their replacement for Julius Peppers in the defensive end from North Carolina—who has the ability to both make an impact rushing the passer like rookie Aldon Smith did for San Francisco—and play every down and stop the run, something Smith didn't do.
Paired with defensive end Charles Johnson, Coples would give the Panthers a scary pass rushing combo for years to come.
9. Miami Dolphins: Riley Reiff, OT, Iowa
The Dolphins need a solid right tackle. Reiff fills a big need.
10. Buffalo Bills: Melvin Ingram, DE, South Carolina
The Bills need a pass rusher and are likely to play more four-man fronts under new defensive coordinator Dave Wannstedt. Ingram is the perfect fit.
11. Seattle Seahawks: Whitney Mercilus, DE, Illinois
The Seahawks could use another edge rusher to pair with Chris Clemons. They get that player in Mercilus, who is merciless to opposing quarterbacks.
12. Kansas City Chiefs: Trent Richardson, RB, Alabama

The Chiefs will be thrilled to pair Richardson with electric playmaker Jamaal Charles, and will be even more thrilled that an elite talent like Richardson falls to them with the 12th pick. Though Richardson has top-five talent, teams have shied away from selecting running backs so early in the first round.
Kansas City is a team that is set up to win the AFC West next year. They get Charles, Matt Cassel, Eric Berry and Tony Moeaki back from injuries. They played inspired football down the stretch under new coach Romeo Crennel.
Sometimes, you have to just take the best player on the board. Kansas City will be happy they did with Richardson.
13. Arizona Cardinals: Jonathan Martin, OT, Stanford
The Cardinals need a better left tackle to protect Kevin Kolb or John Skelton than Levi Brown. You're up, Jonathan Martin.
14. Dallas Cowboys: David DeCastro, OG, Stanford
Back-to-back Stanford picks—how exciting.
The Cowboys will be in the market for a guard, and they'll reach a bit to draft the top guard on the board.
15. Philadelphia Eagles: Dont'a Hightower, MLB, Alabama
At some point, Andy Reid and the Eagles are going to recognize that they desperately need a solid player at linebacker.
I say they finally wake up this year and draft Hightower, who will instantly upgrade one of the worst linebacker groups is the NFL.
16. New York Jets: Courtney Upshaw, OLB, USC
Upshaw will instantly upgrade the Jets pass rush and provide stability to the outside linebacker position.
17. Cincinnati Bengals: Dre Kirkpatrick, CB, Alabama**

The Bengals will be thrilled to find a replacement for last season's free-agent defector, Jonathan Joseph.
Paring with Leon Hall, Kirkpatrick gives the Bengals one of the best young cornerback duos in the NFL and makes their defense truly scary heading into next season.
Kirkpatrick was a top-10 prospect before being arrested for possession of marijuana and will lose some serious money because of the incident.
After Jerome Simpson's offseason, the Bengals should probably be wary of a player like Kirkpatrick. But his talent level at this draft slot' and at a position of need, makes him too appealing to pass up.
18. San Diego Chargers: Michael Floyd, WR, Notre Dame
I fully expect Vincent Jackson to leave the Chargers this offseason. They'll quickly replace him with Floyd.
19. Chicago Bears: Mike Adams, OT, Ohio State
Jay Cutler will be quite pleased with this selection.
20. Tennessee Titans: Nick Perry, DE, USC
The Titans need to upgrade their pass rush. Perry is a high-ceiling selection who should help them do just that.
21. Cincinnati Bengals: Lamar Miller, RB, Miami
The speedy and shifty Miller is the perfect complement to the tough running of Cedric Benson, and he will carry a much-needed share of the load next season and provide the Bengals with another fun weapon along with wide receiver A.J. Green.
22. Cleveland Browns: Chris Polk, RB, Washington
I don't expect Peyton Hillis to return and Montario Hardesty is injury prone.
Cleveland will be happy to add Polk, and Colt McCoy and Browns fans everywhere will be thrilled that the team finally added some talent to the skill positions in this draft.
23. Detroit Lions: Peter Konz, C, Wisconsin
Detroit fills a need with this pick. It isn't sexy, but it's smart.
24. Pittsburgh Steelers: Vontaze Burfict, LB, Arizona State

Anywhere else and I'd say Burfict would be a risky pick. He has crazy athletic ability and would probably be a top-10 pick if he also wasn't, well, a little bit crazy.
But with the Steelers, it's almost a guarantee he becomes a star, isn't it? If he drops to them, it seems highly likely he'll become another star in the NFL.
Burfict may not like that his character issues drop him down the draft board, but he'll end up in the best possible situation if Pittsburgh drafts him.
25. Denver Broncos: Devon Still, DT, Penn State
John Fox will be happy to further improve an up-and-coming defense with this selection.
26. Houston Texans: Kendall Wright, WR, Baylor
The speedy Wright is the perfect complement to all-world receiver Andre Johnson.
27. New England Patriots: Janoris Jenkins, CB, North Alabama

The Patriots secondary was brutal this year. Belichick will take his chances with Jenkins' character issues and land one of the steals in this draft.
Jenkins is another player with elite talent who has seen his stock drop in a major way after being dismissed from the University of Florida in April.
The Patriots, desperate for an upgrade at corner, will select the highly talented Jenkins and provide him with an environment he'll flourish in.
28. Green Bay Packers: Michael Brockers, DT, LSU
Another steal this late, Brockers will replace the loss of Cullen Jenkins from last offseason, a player the Packers desperately missed this year.
29. Baltimore Ravens: Jared Crick, DE, Nebraska
Baltimore knows their bread and butter is defense. They draft accordingly.
30. San Francisco 49ers: Mohamed Sanu, WR, Rutgers
The 49ers receivers don't scare many people. Sanu is an instant upgrade to an up-and-coming NFC power.
31. New York Giants: Alfonzo Dennard, CB, Nebraska
The Giants know you can never have enough good cornerbacks in today's NFL, and they use a first-round pick on a cornerback for a second straight season.
32. New England Patriots: Wilson Chandler, OLB, Syracuse
No, they probably won't keep this pick. But some help at linebacker wouldn't hurt if they do stay here.
* The Redskins, worried the Browns might take Robert Griffin III at No. 4, trade the sixth pick in the first round, along with their second and fourth-round pick this year and second-round pick next year for St. Louis' second overall pick.
** From Oakland in the Carson Palmer trade.
*** From New Orleans in last year's Mark Ingram trade.
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Source: http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1043862-2012-nfl-mock-draft-trent-richardson-and-top-talents-that-will-drop-in-draft
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